One finance person.
A real job.
A point of view.

Orkun Biçen

Senior finance professional. Zone EUR MCS Controller at Nestlé Barcelona. Writing about macro in my spare time because the market deserves better signal.

Background

Ten years in corporate finance at multinationals (Schneider Electric, Nestlé Waters Istanbul, now Nestlé Barcelona). P&L ownership, dynamic forecasting, transfer pricing, cost allocation models. Master’s in Finance.

What that means for this site: I build financial models for a living. I know how to read a balance sheet. I know when a forecast is wishful thinking dressed as analysis.

Methodology

Three rules:

1. Primary sources over secondary. I read the Fed minutes, not a Bloomberg summary of them. I look at the JPM memo, not the tweet thread about it.
2. Data beats narrative. If the CPI print contradicts the story, the story is wrong. Not the print.
3. I tell you when I’m wrong. Every Sunday issue has a “what could kill this thesis” section. I mean it.

Sources I use

Bloomberg, Refinitiv, FT, Reuters, ECB, Fed, BIS, IEA, EIA, BLS, JPM Research, Goldman Research, Morgan Stanley, S&P Global, Kaiko, CryptoQuant, CoinGecko, Glassnode, TradingView. Always cited inline.

Disclaimer

This site does not provide investment advice. All content is for informational purposes. I may hold positions in instruments I discuss. I always disclose when it matters. Always do your own research.